Pollster: WA conflicted over best budget, tax solution

Pollster: WA conflicted over best budget, tax solution

Washington lawmakers, struggling with a $2.8 billion budget gap, generally acknowledge that deep spending cmapsuts will be required, but they’re still sparring over whether to also rely heavily on tax hikes.  Not much guidance from a new statewide poll that shows similar conflicting views among the electorate.

Although a sizable chunk (37 percent) wouldn’t support new taxes, 63 percent said it would at least be part of the solution.  The latter voters gave a mixed reply when asked whether the tax package should be anchored by a temporary sales tax increase “so everybody pays” or rely on more targeted taxes, mostly paid on discretionary purchases like candy, cigarettes and bottled water.

“No majority for anything – a majority against everything,” independent pollster Stuart Elway said Tuesday.  Elway polled 405 registered voters by phone over the weekend, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

Democratic majorities seem to be settling on a tax package of roughly $900 million, although the two chambers haven’t settled on the composition.  The balance, about $1.9 billion, would come from spending cuts ($838 million in Senate proposal and $653 million in House plan), federal aid, use of the state’s reserve account, and other fund transfers.

Elway’s poll showed:

  • Republicans (78 percent) favored deep spending cuts, including 47 percent who favor no tax hikes. Democrats narrowly (51 percent) supported doing deep cuts, including 28 percent who could accept a no-new-taxes position. Independents were midway between the partisans, favoring deep cuts, but also open to some tax hikes.
  • The “all-cuts” solution was supported by 37 percent. The opposite end of the spectrum, no cuts, was backed by 8 percent. Others supported a mix of cuts and taxes.
  • A sales tax surcharge was supported by 23 percent. Other taxes were backed by 28 percent.
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